Accepting an underdog on the spread at the NFL is quite common when puppies have spreads of 3 points or more, but bettors must be aware of another angle that is lucrative.
Last year, underdogs having a final line of 3 or lower covered the spread from 58 of 98 games, or??58.7 percent of the moment. Nevertheless, the real money was made on the moneyline because underdogs won in that spot 50 percent of their time (49 wins).
In case you’d bet $100 on every underdog moneyline using a spread of 3 points or less last season, you’d have profited??$1,147.18.
See below for 2018 results:
There were six games with spreads that shut at reduced or 3 factors and underdogs completed 4-1-1 SU and 5-1 ATS. For the 100 bettors, you’d be around $400.24 in gain just off of the opening week.??
For Week 2, the lines which Odds Shark is tracking have??eight teams with also not or spreads of 3 points: Vikings, 49ers, Lions, Colts, Giants, Broncos, Saints and Falcons.
After running the accounts it got me thinking if there’s another magical number that could be profitable so I ran the numbers for spreads of 6 points or not and it yielded some results that were less than positive.
Last year, underdogs of a final line of lower or 6 covered the spread at 90 of 173 matches, or??54.5 percent of their moment. It was profitable to take each group’s moneyline in that spot despite them finishing less than stellar record of 72-98-3 SU in 173 games. That??yielded a $572.18 gain.
See below for all those 2018 regular-season results:
For Week 2, you will find 11 matches with spreads in points or not. When applying this approach would be to have a good deal of bankroll and also understand that not all dogs are created equal betting is almost always a long-term grind and also the one caveat I tell bettors.
Adhere to the rule of three for now.
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